2 min read
Bitcoin (BTC) has weakened against gold, pushing the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio to its lowest level since November 2023, but analysts believe this rare setup could signal a major long-term opportunity for BTC investors, including those tracking BTC to PKR trends.
The Bitcoin-to-gold ratio has dropped to nearly 18.5 ounces of gold per Bitcoin, reflecting gold’s powerful rally to a fresh record near $4,888, while Bitcoin struggles below the $90,000 mark. In PKR terms, Bitcoin has also shown relative weakness as investors temporarily favor safer assets.
This ratio measures how much gold is needed to buy one Bitcoin. A falling ratio means gold is outperforming BTC, something historically seen during periods of macroeconomic uncertainty.
According to Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards, gold bull markets over the last 100 years have averaged gains of over 150%. If history repeats, gold could climb toward $12,000 over the next 3 to 10 years, keeping short-term pressure on Bitcoin prices and the BTC to PKR rate.
However, analysts stress that this does not weaken Bitcoin’s long-term case.
Crypto analyst Decode notes that the BTC/gold ratio may be nearing the end of its corrective phase based on Elliott Wave theory. This suggests bearish momentum could be exhausting, often a signal that a reversal may follow.
Bitwise Europe’s head of research André Dragosch described Bitcoin’s current position as a “very rare discount” compared to gold. He believes capital rotations could shift toward Bitcoin in early 2026, especially as global investors move away from bonds and toward hard assets.
“Gold moves first, Bitcoin follows later,” Dragosch said, adding that gold’s strength may ultimately become a tailwind for Bitcoin’s next rally.
Historically, periods where Bitcoin significantly underperforms gold have often been followed by strong BTC recoveries. While gold currently dominates as a safe haven, analysts argue Bitcoin’s limited supply and growing institutional role could drive a delayed but powerful catch-up move impacting both USD and BTC to PKR valuations.
