Bitcoin (BTC to PKR) could still surge toward $150,000 by the end of the year, but analysts say several critical conditions must align before a new bull cycle begins. With BTC currently trading near $66,368, market experts believe technical strength, investor inflows, and macroeconomic support will decide whether the next major rally unfolds.
A recent outlook suggests Bitcoin’s path to $150K remains possible, provided strong support levels hold and fresh capital flows back into the crypto market.
One of the most important technical indicators for Bitcoin is the 200-week simple moving average (SMA). Historically, BTC has bottomed near this level before entering powerful multi-year bull runs.
In 2015 and 2018, Bitcoin rebounded strongly after touching the 200-week SMA. Even during the 2022 bear market, BTC briefly dropped below this line but quickly recovered. Analysts say holding above this key trendline reduces the risk of another deep capitulation phase and keeps the door open for a fresh rally.
If Bitcoin maintains this technical footing, the bullish structure could remain intact.
Another major factor is the return of new investor money. Recent data shows nearly $2.7 billion in cumulative outflows from first-time and short-term holders the highest since 2022.
According to on-chain analysts, current market behavior resembles a post-all-time-high transition phase where marginal buyers exit and prices rotate internally instead of attracting new inflows.
However, Bitcoin ETF net flows recently turned positive, which may signal that institutional capital is gradually returning. In past cycles, sustained rallies only began after new investor flows turned decisively positive.
For BTC to PKR prices to climb significantly in 2026, fresh capital must re-enter the market in large volumes.
Tether (USDT) dominance in the crypto market has recently climbed toward the 8.5%–9% resistance zone. Rising USDT dominance often signals investors moving funds into stablecoins to avoid risk.
Historically, when USDT dominance drops from this zone, Bitcoin has posted strong gains. Previous rejections from similar levels were followed by rallies of 76% and even 169% in past cycles.
For Bitcoin to begin a new bull run, capital parked in stablecoins must rotate back into BTC and other cryptocurrencies.
There are also concerns about future quantum computing risks potentially threatening Bitcoin’s cryptography. Some estimates suggest around 25% of Bitcoin addresses could theoretically face risk in a distant future scenario.
However, leading cryptographers argue that any meaningful quantum threat is still decades away. Industry leaders have stated the Bitcoin network can be upgraded to become “quantum ready” long before such risks materialize.
Major firms are already working on roadmap strategies to enhance Bitcoin’s security infrastructure, which could restore investor confidence.
Macroeconomic conditions will also play a decisive role. Market expectations suggest at least two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026. Lower interest rates typically reduce the appeal of bonds and push investors toward risk assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies.
Some strategists even suggest the possibility of three rate cuts next year, which could further strengthen Bitcoin’s appeal among global investors.
If monetary policy shifts toward easing, BTC to PKR prices could benefit significantly as risk appetite returns.
Bitcoin’s journey toward $150,000 is possible but conditional. The cryptocurrency must hold its long-term support, attract new investor inflows, see stablecoin dominance decline, address security concerns, and receive macroeconomic support from rate cuts.
If these signals align in 2026, Bitcoin could enter a new bull cycle potentially pushing BTC to PKR valuations to fresh record highs.
